Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060 0.000065 0.000072
2025-11-23 0.000038 0.000043 0.000049 0.000056 0.000064 0.000074 0.000086
2025-11-30 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000066 0.000078 0.000094
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000036 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065 0.000079 0.000098
2025-12-14 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000051 0.000063 0.000079 0.000101
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080 0.000105
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000047 0.000061 0.000079 0.000106
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000045 0.000059 0.000079 0.000108
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000044 0.000060 0.000081 0.000113
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000025 0.000034 0.000045 0.000062 0.000086 0.000123
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000054 0.000076 0.000108 0.000160
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000027 0.000037 0.000052 0.000074 0.000106 0.000160
2026-02-08 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000050 0.000072 0.000106 0.000164
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000050 0.000075 0.000113 0.000179
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000024 0.000034 0.000050 0.000076 0.000116 0.000190
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000022 0.000032 0.000048 0.000073 0.000115 0.000191
2026-03-08 0.000014 0.000021 0.000030 0.000046 0.000071 0.000113 0.000193
2026-03-15 0.000013 0.000020 0.000029 0.000044 0.000070 0.000113 0.000196
2026-03-22 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000068 0.000111 0.000196
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000040 0.000066 0.000110 0.000197
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000040 0.000066 0.000112 0.000205
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000025 0.000041 0.000069 0.000119 0.000223
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000049 0.000084 0.000151 0.000297